ADI

Analog Devices, Inc.

TechnologySemiconductorsNASDAQ

$413.85

+$31.93 (7.71%)today

Conviction

6/ 10

Fair Value$386.59

Upside-6.59%

Signal0

Market Cap$170.9B

52W Range$161.83–$363.20

Next EarningsMay 21

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$102.65

Current Price$307.44

Upside / Down-66.6%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

31.4%/yr

±4.2% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

24.1%/yr

±3.3% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10qFeb 28

Conviction: unchanged

ADI Q1 FY2026 10-Q: Broad-Based Recovery with AI Infrastructure Acceleration

Exceptional Q1: revenue +30% YoY to $3.16B, gross margin +570 bps to 64.7%, net income doubled to $831M. Communications +63% on AI/datacenter wireline. Industrial +38%. Automotive +8% (soft). $1.37B O...