ADI

Analog Devices, Inc.
TechnologySemiconductorsNASDAQ
$321.02
+$12.93 (4.03%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$386.59
Upside+20.43%
Signal0
Market Cap$148.0B
52W Range$158.65–$363.20
Next EarningsMay 21

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$102.65
Current Price$307.44
Upside / Down-66.6%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

31.4%/yr

±4.2% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

24.1%/yr

±3.3% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Analog Devices, Inc.

Trailing P/E55.4x
Forward P/E23.3x
P/S12.6x
EPS (TTM)$5.47
Analyst Target$386.59
Analyst Upside20.4%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10qFeb 28
Conviction: unchanged
ADI Q1 FY2026 10-Q: Broad-Based Recovery with AI Infrastructure Acceleration

Exceptional Q1: revenue +30% YoY to $3.16B, gross margin +570 bps to 64.7%, net income doubled to $831M. Communications +63% on AI/datacenter wireline. Industrial +38%. Automotive +8% (soft). $1.37B O...