No conviction changes recorded
Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
33.5%/yr
±4.7% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
31.0%/yr
±3.3% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).
ALB placing majority of lithium capacity into care & maintenance as 85-95% lithium price collapse forces existential restructuring. Divesting refining solutions to improve margins. Still exposed to Ch...