ALL

The Allstate Corporation
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & CasualtyNASDAQ
$206.09
-$8.02 (-3.89%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$239.19
Upside+16.06%
Signal0
Market Cap$54.8B
52W Range$180–$216.75
Next EarningsApr 29

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$753.88
Current Price$202.71
Upside / Down+271.9%
P(Undervalued)100.0%
P(20%+ Up)100.0%
P(15%+ Down)0.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

-9.0%/yr

±1.4% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

-18.6%/yr

±1.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Quick Take

The Allstate Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty, and other insurance products in the United States and Canada.

Trailing P/E5.5x
Forward P/E8.3x
P/S0.8x
EPS (TTM)$38.05
Analyst Target$239.19
Analyst Upside16.1%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2
Conviction: unchanged
Allstate 2025 10-K: Transformative Growth in Competitive P&C Market

Allstate is the 3rd largest US P&C insurer, executing Transformative Growth strategy across personal lines (93.9% premiums). Key findings: (1) Underwriting margin pressure from inflation in vehicle re...