Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
14.1%/yr
±4.0% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
18.5%/yr
±3.2% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
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