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11.8% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
6.4%/yr
±5.0% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
4.0%/yr
±2.6% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
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FY2025 confirms NA franchise strength (24.4% margin, +1.4% revenue) and China restructuring effectiveness (margin 8.7% vs 7.0% on -12% revenue). Key new factor: Leonard Valve acquisition (M term loan,...
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