Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
5.5% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
30.9%/yr
±4.8% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
4.2%/yr
±2.5% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
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ARES delivered exceptional AUM growth to .5B (21% CAGR over 10 years), deployed .8B in 2025, and raised .2B in commitments. Diversified platform across Credit (.9B), Real Assets (.1B), Secondaries (.1...