Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.5% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
16.0%/yr
±5.4% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
29.6%/yr
±3.3% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
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BAC FY2025 10-K reveals a bank that has successfully navigated the rate cycle: NII hit its bottom and reversed, credit quality is improving, and the capital return engine is firing. Net income .5B (+1...