BALL

Ball Corporation

Consumer CyclicalPackaging & ContainersNASDAQ

$58.35

+$0.09 (0.15%)today

Conviction

6/ 10

Fair Value$70.25

Upside+20.39%

Signal12.23

Market Cap$15.4B

52W Range$43.51–$68.29

Next EarningsMay 5

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$49.03

Current Price$59.27

Upside / Down-17.3%

P(Undervalued)27.8%

P(20%+ Up)11.6%

P(15%+ Down)53.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

27.8% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

7.7%/yr

±7.4% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

18.6%/yr

±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case

Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Bear Case

Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 3

Conviction: unchanged

BALL FY 2025: Volume Growth + Pricing Power Holding; Tariff Risk Emerging

BALL executes well; volume and pricing offset raw cost inflation. Market share solid across regions. Tariff uncertainty and labor cost inflation are near-term risks. Fair value –37/sh; current fairly...