Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.2% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
21.6%/yr
±4.4% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
37.6%/yr
±3.5% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
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BlackRock's FY2025 10-K reveals a firm in strategic transformation — from dominant asset manager into an integrated financial infrastructure platform. AUM crossed T (+21% YoY), as-adjusted EPS grew to...