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Citigroup Inc.

Financial ServicesBanks - DiversifiedNASDAQ

$125.90

+$0.68 (0.54%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$132

Upside+4.85%

Signal0

Market Cap$217.6B

52W Range$56.07–$125.16

Next EarningsApr 14

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$93.47

Current Price$107.38

Upside / Down-13.0%

P(Undervalued)29.0%

P(20%+ Up)8.6%

P(15%+ Down)46.5%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

29.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

7.2%/yr

±5.5% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

17.6%/yr

±3.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Quick Take

Citigroup Inc., a diversified financial service holding company, provides various financial products and services to consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions.

Trailing P/E16.6x

Forward P/E9.6x

P/S2.7x

EPS (TTM)$7

Analyst Target$132

Analyst Upside4.8%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kFeb 28

Conviction: unchanged

Citigroup 2025 10-K: Transformation Inflection — Earnings Re-Rating Ahead

Citi's 2025 10-K confirms transformation thesis: revenue +7% adj, net income .1B adj, CET1 13.2%. Banamex exit complete, Russia charges taken. Forward P/E 9.1x on + EPS implies massive re-rating poten...