CARR

Carrier Global Corporation

IndustrialsBuilding Products & EquipmentNASDAQ

$59.37

+$1.81 (3.05%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$71.85

Upside+21.02%

Signal0

Market Cap$45.5B

52W Range$50.24–$81.09

Next EarningsApr 30

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$31.39

Current Price$54.25

Upside / Down-42.1%

P(Undervalued)1.2%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)92.8%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

1.2% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

15.9%/yr

±6.2% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

21.3%/yr

±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Carrier Global Corporation provides intelligent climate and energy solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.

Trailing P/E32.2x

Forward P/E17.2x

P/S2.1x

EPS (TTM)$1.69

Analyst Target$71.85

Analyst Upside21.0%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

Carrier Global: FY2025 Pure-Play Climate Solutions Platform

CARR completed portfolio transformation into pure-play climate/energy solutions in 2024. FY2025 showed revenue decline (-3%) with meaningful margin compression (operating margin 10% vs 11.8% YoY) desp...