Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
-6.9%/yr
±3.2% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
33.4%/yr
±3.4% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
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CBRE delivered 13.4% revenue growth to .6B and 19.5% net income growth to .2B in 2025. The commercial real estate recovery is firmly underway: leasing/sales activity rebounded sharply, capital markets...