No conviction changes recorded
Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
75.4% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
12.8%/yr
±5.7% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
33.5%/yr
±3.4% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).
CCL reports Q1 FY2026 March 27. Consensus EPS $0.18 (+38.5% YoY). Stock down 16.6% YTD, trading 10.7x FY2026 EPS. Beat-and-raise = catalyst. Watch forward booking pacing and fuel cost commentary. Cons...
CCL delivered exceptional FY2025 results: record 26.6B revenue, 4.5B operating income, 105 percent occupancy, 2.76B net income. Balance sheet strengthened with debt down 10B+ from peak, investment-gra...