CEG

Constellation Energy Corporation

UtilitiesUtilities - Independent Power ProducersNASDAQ

$300.97

-$15.42 (-5.12%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$398.94

Upside+32.55%

Signal0

Market Cap$108.2B

52W Range$161.35–$412.70

Next EarningsMay 11

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$77.59

Current Price$301.49

Upside / Down-74.3%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

31.3%/yr

±5.6% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

52.6%/yr

±4.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Constellation Energy Corporation produces and sells energy products and services in the United States.

Trailing P/E40.4x

Forward P/E21.2x

P/S4.2x

EPS (TTM)$7.39

Analyst Target$398.94

Analyst Upside32.6%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 1

Conviction: unchanged

CEG FY2025 10-K: Nuclear Moat Intact, Calpine Integration Transforms Scale

CEG's FY2025 10-K reveals best-in-class nuclear operations (94.7% capacity factor, 4% above industry average) with structural IRA PTC support providing a margin floor. Adjusted EPS of $9.39 landed in ...