Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
16.1%/yr
±4.4% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
9.3%/yr
±2.9% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Colgate-Palmolive Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells consumer products in the United States and internationally.
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CL 2025 10-K reveals margin compression (-40 bps to -50 bps non-GAAP) from raw material cost inflation (+420 bps) overwhelming pricing gains and cost savings. Organic growth slowed to +1.4% on volume ...