COF

Capital One Financial Corporation
Financial ServicesCredit ServicesNASDAQ
$185.13
+$5.13 (2.77%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$275.48
Upside+48.80%
Signal0
Market Cap$110.7B
52W Range$143.22–$259.64
Next EarningsApr 21

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$559.43
Current Price$176.10
Upside / Down+217.7%
P(Undervalued)100.0%
P(20%+ Up)100.0%
P(15%+ Down)0.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

-6.5%/yr

±2.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom.

Trailing P/E53.0x
Forward P/E7.2x
P/S3.4x
EPS (TTM)$3.36
Analyst Target$275.48
Analyst Upside48.8%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 1
Conviction: unchanged
COF 10-K FY2025: Discover Integration Transforms COF Into Network + Bank Hybrid

Capital One closed the Discover acquisition on May 18, 2025 for .8B, becoming the largest US credit card issuer and acquiring the Discover Network, PULSE, and Diners Club. COF also announced Brex acqu...