CPB

The Campbell's Company

Consumer DefensivePackaged FoodsNASDAQ

$21.11

+$1.12 (5.29%)today

Conviction

5/ 10

Fair Value$25.24

Upside+19.54%

Signal9.77

Market Cap$6.3B

52W Range$20.62–$39.04

Next EarningsJun 8

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$54.73

Current Price$21.99

Upside / Down+148.9%

P(Undervalued)100.0%

P(20%+ Up)100.0%

P(15%+ Down)0.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

-7.7%/yr

±2.3% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

7.8%/yr

±2.8% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

Campbell's Soup brands; snacking (Snyder's, Pepperidge Farm) growing; Sovos acquisition.

Bear Case

Consumer trade-down to private label; volume pressure post-price increases; debt from deals.

Updated Apr 7

Research Feed

sec_10qMar 4

Conviction: unchanged

Campbell's Q1 FY2026: Tariffs Pressure Margins, Cost Savings Underway

Campbell's faces near-term tariff headwinds (-200 bps margin, -$.04 EPS) but cost savings (M runway) and valuation (9.7x fwd) offer medium-term recovery opportunity. Rao's growth offset by core soup/s...