CSCO

Cisco Systems, Inc.
TechnologyCommunication EquipmentNASDAQ
$120.42
+$2.26 (1.88%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$89.04
Upside-26.06%
Signal0
Market Cap$324.9B
52W Range$52.67–$88.19
Next EarningsMay 13

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$59.63
Current Price$79.92
Upside / Down-25.4%
P(Undervalued)6.3%
P(20%+ Up)0.3%
P(15%+ Down)75.9%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

6.3% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

10.2%/yr

±4.5% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

9.9%/yr

±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Quick Take

Cisco Systems, Inc.

Trailing P/E29.0x
Forward P/E17.9x
P/S5.4x
EPS (TTM)$2.78
Analyst Target$89.04
Analyst Upside-26.1%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

analysisMar 27
Conviction: unchanged
CSCO: AI Networking Rerating Underway — $2.1B Hyperscaler Orders in Q2, But Splunk Integration Creates Revenue Drag

Cisco reported record Q2 FY2026 revenue of $15.3B (+10% YoY), $1.04 non-GAAP EPS, with AI networking as the central growth story: $2.1B in AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers vs $1.3B in Q1. Ne...

sec_10qFeb 28
Conviction: unchanged
CSCO Q2 FY2026 10-Q: AI Infrastructure Inflection, Splunk Transition Pain, Inventory Buildup Signal

Cisco delivered a clean beat in Q2 FY2026: revenue +10% YoY to $15.35B (vs $15.12B est), adj EPS $1.04 (vs $0.94 est, +10.6% beat). Networking product revenue surged 21% driven by AI Infrastructure so...