CSX

CSX Corporation

IndustrialsRailroadsNASDAQ

$45.26

-$0.63 (-1.39%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$41.56

Upside-8.17%

Signal0

Market Cap$78.6B

52W Range$26.29–$43.35

Next EarningsApr 22

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$5.58

Current Price$39.67

Upside / Down-85.9%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

29.0%/yr

±4.6% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

40.9%/yr

±3.6% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

Premium Content

Upgrade to premium for full distribution data, sensitivity analysis, and segment breakdowns.

Quick Take

CSX Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides rail-based freight transportation services in the United States and Canada.

Trailing P/E26.7x

Forward P/E19.7x

P/S5.4x

EPS (TTM)$1.54

Analyst Target$41.56

Analyst Upside-8.2%

No Eagle analysis yet. Request a full review including conviction score, bull/bear cases, and thesis.

Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 1

Conviction: unchanged

CSX 2025 10-K: Operating Margin Compression & Coal Headwinds Persist

CSX 2025: 3% revenue decline, 400bps margin compression to 32.1%, coal revenue -15%, good capex/free cash flow management, elevated labor costs. Quality Carriers continues to deteriorate. Intermodal b...