CTVA

Corteva, Inc.

Basic MaterialsAgricultural InputsNASDAQ

$78.28

-$0.75 (-0.96%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$83.95

Upside+7.25%

Signal0

Market Cap$56.4B

52W Range$54.25–$85.56

Next EarningsMay 5

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$66.80

Current Price$81.99

Upside / Down-18.5%

P(Undervalued)19.6%

P(20%+ Up)5.3%

P(15%+ Down)56.7%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

19.6% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

6.5%/yr

±7.3% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

1.2%/yr

±2.9% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Quick Take

Corteva, Inc.

Trailing P/E48.6x

Forward P/E21.0x

P/S3.3x

EPS (TTM)$1.75

Analyst Target$83.95

Analyst Upside7.2%

No Eagle analysis yet. Request a full review including conviction score, bull/bear cases, and thesis.

Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

Corteva 2025: Seed-Crop Protection Separation and Margin Pressure

CTVA 2025 10-K: Planned separation into Seed and Crop Protection. Seed strong with dominant Enlist E3; Crop Protection faces margin pressure from patents/generics. Regulatory (EPA), geopolitical (Chin...