DAL

Delta Air Lines, Inc.

IndustrialsAirlinesNASDAQ

$82.48

+$7.45 (9.03%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$79.13

Upside-4.06%

Signal0

Market Cap$44.6B

52W Range$35.46–$76.39

Next EarningsApr 8

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$80.52

Current Price$64.83

Upside / Down+24.2%

P(Undervalued)69.8%

P(20%+ Up)53.2%

P(15%+ Down)19.2%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

69.8% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

1.0%/yr

±8.3% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

8.1%/yr

±2.7% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

Premium Content

Upgrade to premium for full distribution data, sensitivity analysis, and segment breakdowns.

Quick Take

Delta Air Lines, Inc.

Trailing P/E8.6x

Forward P/E8.0x

P/S0.7x

EPS (TTM)$7.66

Analyst Target$79.13

Analyst Upside-4.1%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

Delta 2025: Solid Execution but Domestic Weakness, Premium Growth Carrying the Load

DAL delivered solid 2025 but main cabin demand weak. Premium products (+7%) and loyalty growth (+10%) driving revenue, but 8% wage inflation pressuring margins. Operating income flat YoY despite 3% re...