DDOG

Datadog, Inc.
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationNASDAQ
$247.35
+$33.25 (13.44%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$181.52
Upside-26.62%
Signal0
Market Cap$41.1B
52W Range$85.74–$201.69
Next EarningsMay 5

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$37.33
Current Price$114.48
Upside / Down-67.4%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

37.9%/yr

±2.0% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

32.4%/yr

±3.4% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Quick Take

Datadog, Inc.

Trailing P/E374.4x
Forward P/E44.0x
P/S12.0x
EPS (TTM)$0.31
Analyst Target$181.52
Analyst Upside-26.6%

No Eagle analysis yet. Request a full review including conviction score, bull/bear cases, and thesis.

Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

analysisMar 17
Conviction: unchanged
DDOG: AI Observability Inflection — Record Q4, Land-and-Expand Compounding, Premium Deserved

Datadog's Q4 2025 was a blowout: revenue +29% YoY ($953M), 2026 guidance $4.06-4.10B (+19% midpoint), shares +16% in a single session. The AI observability thesis is validating — LLM monitoring, AI ag...

sec_10kMar 2
Conviction: unchanged
FY2025 10-K Analysis: Revenue Deceleration amid Product Expansion and AI Investments

DDOG FY2025 shows 27.6% revenue growth (.43B), down from 26% prior year. Core thesis intact (unified observability platform, strong NRR) but facing growth deceleration, customer concentration risk in ...