Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
26.1%/yr
±6.2% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
38.6%/yr
±3.8% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
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Q1 FY2026 (period ended Feb 1, 2026): Revenue +13% YoY to $9.6B driven by higher volumes and FX tailwinds, but net income fell 24% to $656M ($2.42 diluted) as $361M pretax tariff impact crushed margin...