DIS

The Walt Disney Company

Communication ServicesEntertainmentNASDAQ

$101.83

-$1.72 (-1.69%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$128.73

Upside+26.42%

Signal0

Market Cap$170.1B

52W Range$80.85–$124.69

Next EarningsMay 6

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$60.84

Current Price$92.42

Upside / Down-34.2%

P(Undervalued)8.0%

P(20%+ Up)1.1%

P(15%+ Down)79.3%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

8.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

11.7%/yr

±7.1% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

16.8%/yr

±2.9% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Quick Take

The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company in Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific.

Trailing P/E14.1x

Forward P/E13.1x

P/S1.8x

EPS (TTM)$6.79

Analyst Target$128.73

Analyst Upside26.4%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10qFeb 28

Conviction: unchanged

DIS Q1 FY2026 10-Q Analysis (Quarter Ended Dec 27, 2025)

Q1 FY2026 revenue grew 5% to .0B but net income fell 6% to .4B. The headline miss is driven by a 35% collapse in Entertainment operating income (theatrical cost ramp) and a one-time M non-cash Fubo ta...