Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
7.4% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
19.9%/yr
±9.9% · revenue growth to justify current price
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Exelon FY2025: stable regulated earnings, strong liquidity, ~4x leverage, low single-digit EPS growth, multi-year capex visibility, ROE execution risk, fair value -54