FIX

Comfort Systems USA, Inc.

IndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionNASDAQ

$1,828.21

-$7.09 (-0.39%)today

Conviction

5/ 10

Fair Value$1,670.25

Upside-8.64%

Signal0

Market Cap$56.2B

52W Range$305.50–$1,500

Next EarningsApr 23

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$627.72

Current Price$1366.77

Upside / Down-54.1%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

37.1%/yr

±2.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

43.4%/yr

±3.6% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

FIX 2025 10-K: Execution Excellence Amid Unprecedented Demand

FIX 2025 10-K: Revenue +29.5% to .1B, gross margin +310bps to 24.1%, operating income +75% to .3B. Backlog 99.3% up YoY to .9B. Tech sector driving growth (45% of revenue, data center capex). Executio...