FLEX

Flex Ltd.
TechnologyElectronic ComponentsNASDAQ
$150.78
+$22.67 (15.04%)today
Conviction
6/ 10
Fair Value$75.44
Upside-49.96%
Signal0
Market Cap$28.4B
52W Range$27.14–$72.22
Next EarningsMay 6

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$148.16
Current Price$64.80
Upside / Down+128.6%
P(Undervalued)100.0%
P(20%+ Up)100.0%
P(15%+ Down)0.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

-8.5%/yr

±1.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

18.1%/yr

±3.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10qApr 10
Conviction: unchanged
FLEX FQ3 2026 10-Q: Margin Expansion +90bps, Data Center Driving CEC Growth

FQ3 2026: Revenue +8% to $7.1B. Gross margin expansion +90bps (9M) driven by data center mix shift. Industrial power (data center) growing high-teens. $744M buybacks YTD — share count -10% YoY. Initia...

analysisMar 9
Conviction: unchanged
FLEX: Flex Ltd — EMS Giant Pivoting Up the AI Value Chain

Cheapest of the trio at 0.82x P/S. EMS giant pivoting into AI data center platform assembly (AMD GPU deal). Revenue +12% TTM. Bull: re-rate if AI manufacturing scales. Bear: low-margin EMS history. Mo...