FRT

Federal Realty Investment Trust
Real EstateREIT - RetailNASDAQ
$119.63
+$1.03 (0.86%)today
Conviction
6/ 10
Fair Value$115.58
Upside-3.39%
Signal0
Market Cap$9.3B
52W Range$80.65–$110.89
Next EarningsMay 1

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 5:07 AM76conviction-rescore
Mar 17, 2026, 5:04 AM67sec-read
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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$52.51
Current Price$102.87
Upside / Down-49.0%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)99.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

17.1%/yr

±4.2% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

27.6%/yr

±3.4% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 20
Conviction: unchanged
FRT 2025 10-K: Rent Growth Offset by Macro Headwinds & Office Pipeline Risk

Rent growth strong (+15%) validates infill thesis, but higher costs, office pipeline risk, and modest upside (8% total return) suggest fair valuation with limited near-term catalyst.

sec_10kMar 19
Conviction: unchanged
FRT 2025 10-K: Record Leasing & Structural Headwinds

FRT executed exceptional 2025 leasing (+15% cash spreads, 2.47M SF signed), validating thesis on moat in dense markets. Portfolio 94.1% occupied, anchors 95.5% leased, no tenant concentration risk. Co...

sec_10kMar 17
Conviction: unchanged
FRT 10-K 2025: Record Leasing & Elevated Leverage

2025 delivered record rent spreads (15% cash, 27% SL) on 2.5M sq ft leasing. FFO grew 6.6% to .22/share, Core FFO +4.3%. Occupancy 94.5% is healthy. 2026 guidance .42-7.52 (+5.1-6.5%) suggests modest ...

sec_10kMar 4
Conviction: unchanged
FRT 10-K 2025: Coastal REIT shows resilience amid macro headwinds

FRT 2025 10-K shows a mature REIT managing through elevated costs. Core NOI growth (6.1%) masks rent-growth resilience (+15% on new leases) offset by structural cost inflation. Portfolio strength (96%...