FTI

TechnipFMC plc

EnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesNASDAQ

$68.42

-$2.86 (-4.19%)today

Conviction

6/ 10

Fair Value$64.33

Upside-5.97%

Signal0

Market Cap$29.6B

52W Range$22.12–$72.93

Next EarningsApr 30

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$68.76

Current Price$71.19

Upside / Down-3.4%

P(Undervalued)46.9%

P(20%+ Up)27.5%

P(15%+ Down)38.5%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

46.9% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

9.9%/yr

±9.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

2.7%/yr

±3.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kApr 9

Conviction: unchanged

FTI 10-K FY2025: Subsea Supercycle Accelerating — FCF Doubles, Backlog +15%

FY2025 revenue $9.93B (+9.4%), Subsea margin expanded to 15.0% (from 12.2%). FCF +113% to $1.4B; backlog +15% to $16.6B (20 months cover). Returning 70%+ FCF to shareholders. Total debt reduced $455M....

analysisMar 12

Conviction: unchanged

TechnipFMC: Subsea Supercycle + Margin Expansion Story

TechnipFMC is best-in-class subsea OFS with differentiated iEPCI model, record $16.6B backlog, and 2026 guidance implying 15% EBITDA growth. Direct award share >80% signals structural moat. FCF inflec...