FTI

TechnipFMC plc

EnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesNASDAQ

$69.61

+$1.65 (2.37%)today

Conviction

6/ 10

Fair Value$63.38

Upside-8.95%

Signal0

Market Cap$27.1B

52W Range$22.12–$72.59

Next EarningsApr 30

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$68.76

Current Price$71.19

Upside / Down-3.4%

P(Undervalued)46.9%

P(20%+ Up)27.5%

P(15%+ Down)38.5%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

46.9% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

9.9%/yr

±9.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

2.7%/yr

±3.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case

Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Bear Case

Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Research Feed

analysisMar 12

Conviction: unchanged

TechnipFMC: Subsea Supercycle + Margin Expansion Story

TechnipFMC is best-in-class subsea OFS with differentiated iEPCI model, record $16.6B backlog, and 2026 guidance implying 15% EBITDA growth. Direct award share >80% signals structural moat. FCF inflec...