FTV

Fortive Corporation

TechnologyScientific & Technical InstrumentsNASDAQ

$58.32

-$0.69 (-1.19%)today

Conviction

4/ 10

Fair Value$62.67

Upside+7.45%

Signal2.98

Market Cap$18.5B

52W Range$45.50–$62.42

Next EarningsApr 30

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 9:07 PM5→4conviction-rescore

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$32.54

Current Price$53.92

Upside / Down-39.7%

P(Undervalued)0.2%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)95.5%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.2% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

8.4%/yr

±4.2% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

6.1%/yr

±2.8% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 3

Conviction: unchanged

FTV 2025 10-K: Separation-Year Transition with Margin Pressure from Volume Decline

FTV post-separation 10-K shows resilient pricing (+2.2%) offsetting volume decline (-0.6%). Operating margin compressed 30bps to 17.3%. Key concern: AHS segment weakening due to healthcare policy head...