GE

GE Aerospace

IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseNASDAQ

$323.76

+$23.60 (7.29%)today

Conviction

7/ 10

Fair Value$352.75

Upside+8.95%

Signal6.26

Market Cap$329.1B

52W Range$176.02–$348.48

Next EarningsApr 21

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$107.00

Current Price$282.81

Upside / Down-62.2%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

35.6%/yr

±3.5% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

35.7%/yr

±3.5% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

GE Aerospace pure-play engine/services; installed base LEAP/GE9X service revenue compounding; defense upside.

Bear Case

737 MAX production delays reduce LEAP demand; supply chain bottlenecks; labor cost inflation.

Updated Apr 7

Research Feed

analysisMar 19

Conviction: unchanged

GE Aerospace: $190B Backlog Fortress — Services Compounding Toward 20%+ Margin

GE Aerospace has a $190B backlog (~9 years of revenue) dominated by high-margin aftermarket services. LEAP engine deliveries +28% in FY2025 (record), Defense deliveries +30%, orders +32% YoY. 2026 gui...

sec_10kFeb 28

Conviction: unchanged

GE Aerospace FY2025 10-K: LEAP Services Inflection Validates Core Thesis

GE Aerospace delivered a breakout FY2025: revenue +18% to .9B, adj EPS +38% to $6.37, FCF +24% to $7.7B. CES margin expanded to 26.6%. The LEAP engine fleet is entering its prime MRO window — internal...