GEN

Gen Digital Inc.

TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureNASDAQ

$25.79

+$0.98 (3.78%)today

Conviction

5/ 10

Fair Value$31.19

Upside+30.90%

Signal0.37

Market Cap$11.8B

52W Range$18.21–$32.22

Next EarningsMay 7

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 29, 2026, 4:07 AM6→5daily-review

Mar 28, 2026, 4:06 AM7→6macro-brief

Mar 18, 2026, 9:07 PM5→7conviction-rescore

Premium Content

Upgrade to premium to see the full reasoning behind each conviction change.

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$30.80

Current Price$18.34

Upside / Down+67.9%

P(Undervalued)100.0%

P(20%+ Up)98.7%

P(15%+ Down)0.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

-3.0%/yr

±2.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

3.8%/yr

±2.6% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

Premium Content

Upgrade to premium for full distribution data, sensitivity analysis, and segment breakdowns.

Bull Case

Cyber demand structural; 6.4x PE extreme value; 69% analyst upside target.

Bear Case

Stock declining on good news = market sees unknown negative; MoneyLion absorbing mgmt bandwidth.

Thesis Breakers

Stock continues declining on good news; MoneyLion reveals deeper execution issues.

Updated Mar 30

Research Feed

sec_10qMar 4

Conviction: unchanged

GEN Digital Inc. 10-Q Q3 FY2026 Analysis: MoneyLion Integration & Margin Trade-off

GEN's organic growth weak (2-3% Cyber Safety), M&A-driven expansion via MoneyLion. Margin compression from TBS mix. Leverage elevated, refinancing risk 2027-28. Litigation tail risks material. Integra...