GEV

GE Vernova Inc.

IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachineryNASDAQ

$968.32

-$70.04 (-7.23%)today

Conviction

6/ 10

Fair Value$887.89

Upside-8.31%

Signal0

Market Cap$267.2B

52W Range$279.57–$948.38

Next EarningsApr 22

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Apr 1, 2026, 10:23 AM7→6trading-session

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$208.60

Current Price$853.16

Upside / Down-75.5%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

37.5%/yr

±2.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

42.5%/yr

±4.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

analysisMar 13

Conviction: unchanged

GEV 2026: Power Grid Supercycle, $150B Backlog, Wind Drag — Electrification Compounder

GE Vernova is a dominant power infrastructure franchise with $150B backlog and 83 GW gas turbine book through 2029. Power and Electrification segments exceptional; Wind structurally challenged. Convic...

sec_10kFeb 28

Conviction: unchanged

GE Vernova FY2025 10-K: Power & Electrification Engine, Wind Drag

FY2025 revenue .1B (+9%), orders .3B (+34%), total backlog B (+B YoY). Adj EBITDA margin 8.4% (+210bps). FCF .7B (+118%). Power and Electrification driving thesis; Wind remains drag. 2026 guidance rai...