GM

General Motors Company

Consumer CyclicalAuto ManufacturersNASDAQ

$83.24

+$6.50 (7.81%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$94.88

Upside+13.99%

Signal0

Market Cap$71.3B

52W Range$41.64–$87.62

Next EarningsApr 28

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$133.50

Current Price$72.98

Upside / Down+82.9%

P(Undervalued)85.7%

P(20%+ Up)78.4%

P(15%+ Down)9.6%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

85.7% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

-3.0%/yr

±7.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

61.6%/yr

±4.2% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Quick Take

General Motors Company designs, builds, and sells trucks, crossovers, cars, and automobile parts worldwide.

Trailing P/E22.1x

Forward P/E5.2x

P/S0.4x

EPS (TTM)$3.27

Analyst Target$94.88

Analyst Upside14.0%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

GM FY2025: EV Restructuring & China Headwinds Override Core Strength

GM's FY2025 shows core ICE strength offset by $7.9B restructuring (EV realignment + Cruise refocus) and China JV distress. Thesis: profitable legacy + EV optionality. Risk: if China turnaround fails o...