Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
85.7% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
-3.0%/yr
±7.9% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
61.6%/yr
±4.2% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
General Motors Company designs, builds, and sells trucks, crossovers, cars, and automobile parts worldwide.
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GM's FY2025 shows core ICE strength offset by $7.9B restructuring (EV realignment + Cruise refocus) and China JV distress. Thesis: profitable legacy + EV optionality. Risk: if China turnaround fails o...