Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
16.4% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
15.2%/yr
±4.8% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
18.0%/yr
±3.2% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
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FY2025 revenue +15% to .25B led by fitness (+33%), but deceleration vs FY2024. Margins stable. Auto OEM remains unprofitable. Strong cash generation. Taiwan concentration risk. Recommend HOLD—growth r...