HAS

Hasbro, Inc.

Consumer CyclicalLeisureNASDAQ

$86.17

-$3.74 (-4.34%)today

Conviction

6/ 10

Fair Value$112.60

Upside+30.67%

Signal18.4

Market Cap$12.9B

52W Range$49–$106.98

Next EarningsApr 23

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 9:07 PM5→6conviction-rescore

Premium Content

Upgrade to premium to see the full reasoning behind each conviction change.

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$104.20

Current Price$88.59

Upside / Down+17.6%

P(Undervalued)73.4%

P(20%+ Up)46.8%

P(15%+ Down)11.4%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

73.4% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

0.7%/yr

±4.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

-0.7%/yr

±3.2% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

Premium Content

Upgrade to premium for full distribution data, sensitivity analysis, and segment breakdowns.

Bull Case

Hasbro toy/entertainment; Wizards of the Coast (Magic: the Gathering/D&D) recurring revenue; licensing.

Bear Case

Toy retail inventory normalization; film/TV content investment; competitive gaming threats.

Updated Apr 7

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 4

Conviction: unchanged

Hasbro FY2025 10-K Analysis: MAGIC Strength Masks Toy Decline

MAGIC driven 44.7% growth in Wizards segment with 46% margins. Consumer Products impairment signals structural challenges in physical toy business. Tariff headwinds and digital game execution risk are...