No conviction changes recorded
Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
61.8% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
3.6%/yr
±7.2% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
10.5%/yr
±2.9% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).
HII dominates U.S. nuclear shipbuilding (carriers, subs) with sole-source RCOH and amphibious assault capabilities. Strong backlog (B+ overage) backed by FY2026 B shipbuilding authorization. Key risks...