HLT

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

Consumer CyclicalLodgingNASDAQ

$327.66

+$4.97 (1.52%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$328.20

Upside+0.16%

Signal0

Market Cap$74.2B

52W Range$196.04–$333.86

Next EarningsApr 28

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$71.99

Current Price$294.04

Upside / Down-75.5%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

33.8%/yr

±4.1% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

29.7%/yr

±3.4% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Quick Take

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, and leasing hotels and resorts.

Trailing P/E49.4x

Forward P/E29.1x

P/S14.0x

EPS (TTM)$6.13

Analyst Target$328.20

Analyst Upside0.2%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

Hilton 2025: Franchise-led growth with macro headwinds

Capital-light franchise platform with strong unit growth but near-term margin pressure from labor inflation, owner leverage stress, and macro cyclicality. Requires full P&L analysis to establish convi...