HRL

Hormel Foods Corporation
Consumer DefensivePackaged FoodsNASDAQ
$23.07
+$0.37 (1.59%)today
Conviction
4/ 10
Fair Value$27.63
Upside+19.74%
Signal7.9
Market Cap$12.7B
52W Range$21.03–$32.07
Next EarningsMay 28

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 9:08 PM54conviction-rescore

Hormel Foods: No DCF. Below 200dma. PE=25.5x (expensive for a packaged foods company declining in volume). Price $22.7, prior target $25.50 (12% upside). Analyst target $27.6 (21% upside but from analysts who have been wrong for 2 years on this). HRL has been in secular decline — turkey volumes down, brand competition stiff, dividend under scrutiny. No DCF, below 200dma, declining fundamentals. Lean avoid.

Price History

Bull Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Bear Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Research Feed

sec_10qMar 4
Conviction: unchanged
Q1 FY2026: Retail Weakness Offsets Foodservice Gains; Margin Compression Signals Pricing Power Limits

HRL Q1 FY2026: Foodservice pricing offset Retail collapse (-19.3% profit). Margin compression despite pricing signals cost inflation outpacing pass-through. Divestitures reduce portfolio. Conviction f...