HST

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.

Real EstateREIT - Hotel & MotelNASDAQ

$22.98

+$0.58 (2.54%)today

Conviction

6/ 10

Fair Value$21.50

Upside-6.44%

Signal0

Market Cap$14.0B

52W Range$12.33–$21

Next EarningsMay 6

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 9:08 PM5→6conviction-rescore

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$25.72

Current Price$18.84

Upside / Down+36.5%

P(Undervalued)86.2%

P(20%+ Up)68.3%

P(15%+ Down)5.3%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

86.2% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

0.9%/yr

±4.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

12.2%/yr

±2.9% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 4

Conviction: unchanged

HST 2025 10-K: Luxury REIT Portfolio Stable, Cyclicality & Weather Risks High

HST: Luxury REIT with 76-hotel portfolio, 64% Marriott-managed, strong location diversification. Key risks: economic cyclicality, .1B debt with 20% floating, unionized labor, natural disaster exposure...