Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
20.6%/yr
±5.7% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
9.6%/yr
±2.9% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
The Hershey Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of confectionery products and pantry items in the United States and internationally.
No Eagle analysis yet. Request a full review including conviction score, bull/bear cases, and thesis.
No analysis yet
No analysis yet
HSY FY2025 margin compression severe (1,380bp gross, 1,360bp operating) driven by cocoa/tariff costs (.5B+ headwind) offset by 6% pricing. Commodity hedging losses (M) add to pain. International segme...