Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.2% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
16.9%/yr
±3.9% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
16.7%/yr
±3.0% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides technology and data to financial institutions, corporations, and government entities in the United States, the United Kingdom, the European Union, Canada, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East.
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ICE delivered record .9B in net revenues (+6% YoY) and GAAP diluted EPS of $5.77 (+21%). Three-segment model showing healthy diversification: Exchanges $5.4B (55%), FIDS $2.4B (24%), Mortgage Tech $2....