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0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
23.2%/yr
±5.3% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
50.7%/yr
±3.9% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
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Intel executing 5-node roadmap with 18A in HVM. Agentic AI creating surprise CPU demand tailwind. Foundry losses the key risk. Conviction 6: real option value on process recovery but execution uncerta...
Intel FY2025: revenue .9B (flat), gross margin 34.8% (improving), operating loss narrowed to -.2B from -.7B. Intel 18A entered high-volume production, NVIDIA paid B for strategic stake at $23.28/share...