INVH

Invitation Homes Inc.

Real EstateREIT - ResidentialNASDAQ

$29.25

+$0.22 (0.76%)today

Conviction

5/ 10

Fair Value$31

Upside+5.98%

Signal2.99

Market Cap$15.6B

52W Range$24.25–$35.80

Next EarningsApr 29

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$21.85

Current Price$24.47

Upside / Down-10.7%

P(Undervalued)29.1%

P(20%+ Up)7.9%

P(15%+ Down)41.3%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

29.1% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

7.3%/yr

±4.0% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

8.8%/yr

±3.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

Invitation Homes single-family rental REIT; institutional SFR demand structural; Sun Belt exposure.

Bear Case

Home price appreciation reducing rental demand; supply from institutional SFR buildout.

Updated Apr 7

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 4

Conviction: unchanged

INVH 2025 10-K: Scale, Inflation Headwinds, and Regulatory Uncertainty

INVH 2025 10-K: 86.2K-home SFR REIT with strong operational platform but facing inflation headwinds, regulatory uncertainty, and labor cost pressures. Scale and vertical integration provide moat. Rece...