IQV

IQVIA Holdings Inc.
HealthcareDiagnostics & ResearchNASDAQ
$182.21
+$15.39 (8.45%)today
Conviction
6/ 10
Fair Value$234.25
Upside+28.56%
Signal17.14
Market Cap$28.9B
52W Range$134.65–$247.05
Next EarningsMay 6

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$152.04
Current Price$163.85
Upside / Down-7.2%
P(Undervalued)37.8%
P(20%+ Up)13.1%
P(15%+ Down)37.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

37.8% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

5.7%/yr

±5.0% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

4.1%/yr

±2.5% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Bull Case

IQVIA CRO clinical research; biopharma outsourcing structural; real-world data analytics moat.

Bear Case

Biopharma funding tightness reducing trials; FSP vs full-service mix shift; competition from Covance.

Updated Apr 7

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 17
Conviction: unchanged
IQV 2025 10-K: Data Moat Deepens Amid Regulatory Headwinds

IQV 2025 10-K confirms strong data moat (68 petabytes, 1.2B patient records) with deepening platform integration. No single customer concentration risk (largest = 5%). Market tailwinds accelerating (N...

sec_10kMar 17
Conviction: unchanged
IQVIA 10-K FY2025: Solid Moat, Elevated Debt

FY2025 revenue .31B (+5.9% YoY), operating income .18B (13.4% margin), net income .36B (8.3% margin). Debt .98B with 3.33x net leverage. Data moat confirmed: 1.2B patient records, 68PB proprietary dat...

sec_10kMar 3
Conviction: unchanged
IQVIA 2025 10-K: Scale Advantage in Consolidating Market

IQVIA: Global leader in clinical research and healthcare intelligence with 1.2B patient records and 100+ country presence. Serves 335B addressable market across three segments. Competitive moat from p...