JCI

Johnson Controls International plc

IndustrialsBuilding Products & EquipmentNASDAQ

$134.06

-$1.40 (-1.04%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$143.79

Upside+7.26%

Signal0

Market Cap$87.2B

52W Range$69.99–$146.49

Next EarningsMay 6

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$42.61

Current Price$131.29

Upside / Down-67.5%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

27.7%/yr

±5.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

61.4%/yr

±4.2% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

Premium Content

Upgrade to premium for full distribution data, sensitivity analysis, and segment breakdowns.

Quick Take

Johnson Controls International plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning, and retrofitting building products and systems in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.

Trailing P/E44.4x

Forward P/E23.8x

P/S3.4x

EPS (TTM)$2.98

Analyst Target$143.79

Analyst Upside7.3%

No Eagle analysis yet. Request a full review including conviction score, bull/bear cases, and thesis.

Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10qMar 1

Conviction: unchanged

JCI Q1 FY2026 10-Q: Data Center Order Surge Validates Pure-Play Pivot

JCI Q1 FY2026 delivers 7% revenue growth, 10% segment EBITA growth, and an extraordinary 39% surge in orders (+56% Americas) driven almost entirely by accelerating data center investments. Portfolio s...