KIM

Kimco Realty Corporation

Real EstateREIT - RetailNASDAQ

$24.08

+$0.03 (0.12%)today

Conviction

5/ 10

Fair Value$24.88

Upside+3.30%

Signal1.65

Market Cap$15.6B

52W Range$17.93–$23.91

Next EarningsApr 30

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 1:09 PM6→5conviction-rescore

Mar 4, 2026, 5:08 AM7→6sec-read

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$18.09

Current Price$22.34

Upside / Down-19.0%

P(Undervalued)12.8%

P(20%+ Up)1.5%

P(15%+ Down)60.4%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

12.8% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

9.8%/yr

±3.6% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

10.5%/yr

±2.9% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

Kimco grocery-anchored REIT; necessity retail occupancy 96%+; Weingarten acquisition synergies.

Bear Case

Consumer credit stress hitting strip tenants; interest rate sensitivity to REIT valuations.

Updated Apr 7

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 4

Conviction: unchanged

10-K FY2025 Deep Read

High-quality grocery-anchored retail REIT. 565 shopping centers, 100.2M sq ft, 96.6% occupancy. FFO $1.76/share (+6.7% YoY), same-store NOI +3.0%. Strong balance sheet: 4.0% avg debt rate, 7.9yr matur...

sec_10kMar 4

Conviction: unchanged

KIM 2025 10-K: Portfolio Strength in Retail Redux

Kimco Realty: Fortress REIT with strategic portfolio in demographically-favored Sun Belt/coastal markets. Strong balance sheet (A-/A-/A3 unsecured), 7.9yr debt maturity, 91% unencumbered. RPT merger a...