Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
34.2%/yr
±4.0% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
-4.0%/yr
±2.3% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
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Record 2024 results: B AUM, B deployed, B raised. Strong fundamentals with diversification benefits. Insurance integration validates long-term strategy. Valuation appears fair at current levels; upsid...