Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
70.5% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
-1.6%/yr
±4.1% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
0.4%/yr
±3.2% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
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KVUE FY2025: Largest pure-play consumer health company emerging from J&J separation and entering K-C merger. Strong brand moat but faces retail consolidation, product liability, and regulatory headwin...