Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
28.2% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
8.3%/yr
±6.1% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
7.6%/yr
±3.4% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
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L3Harris delivered 3% organic revenue growth with backlog acceleration to .7B (+13% YoY), signaling multi-year visibility. Margin resilience despite inflation, cost initiatives ramping (LHX NeXt). Key...